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in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that poll in iowa shows a gain for mr. obama, a 5-point gain. in florida, the same poll shows a 4-point swing for romney. he's up by 2 points. so the major fall or minor lift, however, you rattle the number lose, as the overall national polling shifts and the swing state races shift with them, the state where the romney campaign is hoping for the biggest shift of all is in ohio. in modern political history, ohio has been the path to the presidency for republican candidates. if republican candidates win ohio, they win the white house. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio,
in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that...
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Oct 10, 2012
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romney up by 4 points in the pew poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack obama with an edge of 4 points in ohio, which is just outside the margin of error. it's far less than the 9-point leads in the survey not long ago. i should say to democrats and obama supporters, i'm sorry if i unleashed those numbers on you with a mature content warning label. but my friend e.j. dionne will be with us later. he says, i was talking with an old friend who was one of the nonpartisan polling outfits. we were discussing the large shifts in some of the polls on the presidential election and the feedback he receives whenever he puts out new numbers that make one side or the other
romney up by 4 points in the pew poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack...
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romney was getting hammered in the polls. keeping them honest though, disputing or downplaying the obvious, that's what campaigns do on both sides. >> it's not going to be about the polls. >> i wouldn't put a lot of weight in any of these national polls for the next couple days. >> in terms of mitt romney surging, just remember how much of a deficit he had to make up. he was in some cases double digits behind the president in all those attributes. >> pull back the reins. >> the media is focusing on one poll. >> that's reaction to the recent batch of polling, including that devastating pew poll that showed a four point romney lead. now consider that pew took an earlier poll in september a couple weeks before the debate, it was the republicans going ballistic when it showed romney eight points down. watch. >> these polls are basically just part and parcel of the campaign for barack obama to help him stay in this game as long as possible. >> if you believe what the polls are saying right now, you've got to believe that there's s
romney was getting hammered in the polls. keeping them honest though, disputing or downplaying the obvious, that's what campaigns do on both sides. >> it's not going to be about the polls. >> i wouldn't put a lot of weight in any of these national polls for the next couple days. >> in terms of mitt romney surging, just remember how much of a deficit he had to make up. he was in some cases double digits behind the president in all those attributes. >> pull back the reins....
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the gallup poll, for instance, has romney doing five points better. other polls have that a little smaller. so it seems like obama would even today win an election if everyone registered to vote turned out or certainly all adults. but based on the republican enthusiasm advantage and some democrats, i think, feeling a little disupon dent after the pr performance in denver last week, that alone might be enough to push romney over the top. >> the special way that you sort of distill the candidate's chances at 538, your now cast factors in not just polling but also economic data and other measures that you think give you a percentage chance that one of the two candidates will win the election. what's the percentage chance you have for each of the candidates and has that changed less than the national polls changed? >> the percentage is a 70/30 advantage for obama. which, by the way, if you go to vegas or offshore versions of vegas, you can bet at about those odds. obama is a 70% favorite. but my site had obama as an 85% favorite before the debate. means r
the gallup poll, for instance, has romney doing five points better. other polls have that a little smaller. so it seems like obama would even today win an election if everyone registered to vote turned out or certainly all adults. but based on the republican enthusiasm advantage and some democrats, i think, feeling a little disupon dent after the pr performance in denver last week, that alone might be enough to push romney over the top. >> the special way that you sort of distill the...
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and a new real clear politics average of all the national polls has romney edging ahead of president obama for the first time this year. south of cleveland last night, meanwhile, an estimated 12,000 people showed up in the cold to support romney who was introduced by fired up governor of new jersey, mr. chris christie. >> a few weeks ago, i watched the democratic national convention, i did it as a sacrifice and service to my country. i sat on my couch in my living room, i made my 12-year-old son patrick bring me a big bottle of water because when i hear that much b.s., i get lightheaded. i want to help the president i'm sure because he loves me. i'm sure he's out there listening. mr. president, you have lived inside 1600 pennsylvania avenue for four years. if you can't change washington from inside the white house, then let's get you the plane ticket back to chicago you've earned. >> romney who is holding three more campaign events today in ohio shows you you how much they think they need to do in that state, then supplied the crowd with a neutrallying cry. >> i've been watching some
and a new real clear politics average of all the national polls has romney edging ahead of president obama for the first time this year. south of cleveland last night, meanwhile, an estimated 12,000 people showed up in the cold to support romney who was introduced by fired up governor of new jersey, mr. chris christie. >> a few weeks ago, i watched the democratic national convention, i did it as a sacrifice and service to my country. i sat on my couch in my living room, i made my...
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it appears that in one poll, in the pew poll, mitt romney is up against the president and in the gallup seven-day tracking poll, the president is up 50 to 45, if i have mitt romney's number right in that poll. this race has been, is, and will continue to be until election day a very close race. and so either side can take heart in a poll that shows his or her candidate being on top but, remember, this race is basically tied. >> now, the vice presidential debate, the one and only one, will be be this thursday night and paul ryan, the republican vice presidential nominee, was questioning his weekend on what he was doing to prepare for the debate. here's his response. >> how you feeling about the debate? >> what debate? oh, yeah. i better get ready for that. >> you know, i better get started. you just reminded me. no, it's going well. >> what are you looking for in that debate, marge, on thursday night? >> well, first of all, paul ryan should focus on explaining the math. that's something he dismissed when asked about it on fox news about a week or two ago. >> right. >> so he should now fi
it appears that in one poll, in the pew poll, mitt romney is up against the president and in the gallup seven-day tracking poll, the president is up 50 to 45, if i have mitt romney's number right in that poll. this race has been, is, and will continue to be until election day a very close race. and so either side can take heart in a poll that shows his or her candidate being on top but, remember, this race is basically tied. >> now, the vice presidential debate, the one and only one, will...
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the latest polling shows mixed results. the pew poll has romney up by four. gallup's daily tracking has the president up by five. what does that mean? >> yeah, first of all, you know, you always take one poll in isolation or even two can be problematic. the best thing always on these is to look there's a few sites that do polling averages, real clear politics, "huffington post," they average all the different polls and put them together. if you want to look at these two right now, they might kind of both be true and it's because of this. the gallup one measures seven days. it's still got a number of predebate days there when oen was ahead. it's got the immediate post debate when romney seems to have pulled even or taken the lead in the two or three days immediately after. >> immediately after. >> what gallup also showed apparently in the last day that's included in the seven days, there was ho movement back towards obama. there was an end to the movement toward romney. so that's why he went from three ahead in the seven-day track yesterday to five ahead in th
the latest polling shows mixed results. the pew poll has romney up by four. gallup's daily tracking has the president up by five. what does that mean? >> yeah, first of all, you know, you always take one poll in isolation or even two can be problematic. the best thing always on these is to look there's a few sites that do polling averages, real clear politics, "huffington post," they average all the different polls and put them together. if you want to look at these two right...
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that hurt hem in the polls. the romney campaign has to step up to make sure they have the resources. the enthusiasm gap really helps them. this will be a tight election. both sides will be excited. >> bill, you worked in the white house. you have done debate prep before. what happened? who didn't show up? where was barack obama last wednesday? >> i don't think anybody, including the media was ready for mitt romney. somebody willing to walk away from their bigs policy positions, talk about -- >> we watched him in the primary debates. he demolished newt gingrich. >> he did do pretty good. i don't think he won those by not telling the truth about what he was for. the republican debates you had a clearer sense of where he was. not this strange new picture. >> the biggest lie of the campaign is the lie that mitt romney will raise taxes on the middle class. mitt romney has no chance of raising taxes on the middle class. his republican base would kill him. the concept of raising taxes on the middle class will never hap
that hurt hem in the polls. the romney campaign has to step up to make sure they have the resources. the enthusiasm gap really helps them. this will be a tight election. both sides will be excited. >> bill, you worked in the white house. you have done debate prep before. what happened? who didn't show up? where was barack obama last wednesday? >> i don't think anybody, including the media was ready for mitt romney. somebody willing to walk away from their bigs policy positions, talk...
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Oct 14, 2012
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some polls show romney up one or two. but the key is what happens in those eight or nine battleground states that are going to determine who gets the lek trorl votes. we saw it last week in our wall street journal poll in ohio. you had a huge advantage for obama in the early vote. we have seen that in other states like iowa. that doesn't necessarily mean the democrats will win the states. it could be they're harvesting the votes elier than republicans. but it's an indication that democrats put this a infrastructure in place while the primaries were going on. they're trying to capitalize on that now. >> so they're making up lost time in the ground game, you think? >> yes, of course they are. when you have the luxury of a primary in the beginning, you can see that this is very all the techniques that they have to reach out, identity the voters. republicans are playing catchup. however, in a race in cl mitt romney has developed momentum late, you can make up in momentum what you missed out on early in the organization. jacki
some polls show romney up one or two. but the key is what happens in those eight or nine battleground states that are going to determine who gets the lek trorl votes. we saw it last week in our wall street journal poll in ohio. you had a huge advantage for obama in the early vote. we have seen that in other states like iowa. that doesn't necessarily mean the democrats will win the states. it could be they're harvesting the votes elier than republicans. but it's an indication that democrats put...
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has effectively closed the gender gap according to one poll. romney stands even with the president among female voters in the latest pugh survey. should romney end up getting more of the female vote than the president does in the general, he'd be the first republican to do that in 24 years. want to sound smart today, tell your friends the last republican presidential candidate to win the female vote, george h.w. bush. they favored him over michael dukakis by a single percentage point that day. the number of female voters xeeted every male voter in every presidential election since 1964. >>> all right, let's huddle up around the water cooler to take a crack at the conspiracy theories that were around after the release of the jobs report. >> folks, this .3% drop in the unemployment rate seems just a little too barely better to be true. >> maybe it's a coincidence. the month before the election we have a number that comes out .1 below when the president took office. >> i'm going to go with jack welch on this one. >> how convenient that the rate dr
has effectively closed the gender gap according to one poll. romney stands even with the president among female voters in the latest pugh survey. should romney end up getting more of the female vote than the president does in the general, he'd be the first republican to do that in 24 years. want to sound smart today, tell your friends the last republican presidential candidate to win the female vote, george h.w. bush. they favored him over michael dukakis by a single percentage point that day....
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. >> the poll numbers for romney and ryan soaring after the first presidential debate. democrats openly counting on joe biden tonight to stop that republican momentum. >> osama bin laden is dead and general motors is arrive. >> the 2012 vice presidential debate starts right now. >>> happy debate night, everybody. the best television series of 2011 was the republican primary debates. there were 1 million of them. they played to huge audiences week after week and never disappointed. now it is october 2012 and the most compelling thing on television anywhere in the country is once again the debates. only now there are only two candidates at a time and the stakes are way higher. i'm rachel maddow. here on our msnbc headquarters in new york. i'm joined by ed schultz, reverend al sharpton, chris hayes, steve schmidt. lawrence o'donnell is our man in the spin room tonight. the one and only chris matthews is at centre college in danville, kentucky, the site of tonight's debate. chris, is this unusually high stakes for a vice presidential debate? >> well, it's great being with y
. >> the poll numbers for romney and ryan soaring after the first presidential debate. democrats openly counting on joe biden tonight to stop that republican momentum. >> osama bin laden is dead and general motors is arrive. >> the 2012 vice presidential debate starts right now. >>> happy debate night, everybody. the best television series of 2011 was the republican primary debates. there were 1 million of them. they played to huge audiences week after week and never...
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today yet another round of opinion polls showing governor romney pulling ahead of the president after that big debate. the governor now has a two-point lead in the latest gallup poll of likely voters. before the debate, the president was up by five points in the same poll. the obama camp down playing the numbers. one campaign spokesman says he expected this to happen. a live look now in ohio where governor romney is getting ready for a rally. 18 electoral votes up for grabs four weeks from tonight. as i reported, no republican has won the white house without first winning ohio. the governor started his day in another battle ground state, iowa. he responded to one of the president's latest attack lines over the governor's pledge to cut funding for pbs. home of big bird. >> these are tough times with real serious issues. so you have to scratch your head when the president spends the last week talking about saving big bird. i actually think we need to have a president who talks about saving the american people and saving good jobs and saving our future. >> shep: now the people at sesame
today yet another round of opinion polls showing governor romney pulling ahead of the president after that big debate. the governor now has a two-point lead in the latest gallup poll of likely voters. before the debate, the president was up by five points in the same poll. the obama camp down playing the numbers. one campaign spokesman says he expected this to happen. a live look now in ohio where governor romney is getting ready for a rally. 18 electoral votes up for grabs four weeks from...
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before mitt romney's well reviewed debate performances, an nbc-wall street journal poll found obama leading romney 51% to 43% among likely ohio voters. can a debate change ohio's democratic drift? the state's attorney general mike dewine and former governor ted strickland are next. there's big news. presenting androgel 1.62%. both are used to treat men with low testosterone. androgel 1.62% is from the makers of the number one prescribed testosterone replacement therapy. it raises your testosterone levels, and... is concentrated, so you could use less gel. and with androgel 1.62%, you can save on your monthly prescription. [ male announcer ] dosing and application sites between these products differ. women and children should avoid contact with application sites. discontinue androgel and call your doctor if you see unexpected signs of early puberty in a child, or, signs in a woman which may include changes in body hair or a large increase in acne, possibly due to accidental exposure. men with breast cancer or who have or might have prostate cancer, and women who are, or may become pregnant o
before mitt romney's well reviewed debate performances, an nbc-wall street journal poll found obama leading romney 51% to 43% among likely ohio voters. can a debate change ohio's democratic drift? the state's attorney general mike dewine and former governor ted strickland are next. there's big news. presenting androgel 1.62%. both are used to treat men with low testosterone. androgel 1.62% is from the makers of the number one prescribed testosterone replacement therapy. it raises your...
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Oct 11, 2012
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first time romney really made that case last week, and it's helped him shoot up in the polls. >> oh, i think he l.as you know, paul ryan worked for jack kemp at empower america. he worked for castin who is one of the original supply-siders. he gets this stuff in the very heart of his being, and it's an important story to tell that in fact, if you look at the price of gasoline. obama has failed. if you look at the unemployment rate, obama has failed. the answer is not austerity. the answer is growth. if you have growth, can you mop up a lot of your problems, be prudent about spending, get back to a balanced budget which has only occurred in your lifetime because of a republican congress. >> last one, we're kind of short of time, but if biden starts crowing about his alleged foreign policy experience and knowledge and wisdom, shouldn't ryan go into this whole benghazi cover-up? >> absolutely. i mean, he ought to look at vice president in the face and say did you agree with the intelligence community and did you try to correct the president when he was wrong? >> you know, we found out t
first time romney really made that case last week, and it's helped him shoot up in the polls. >> oh, i think he l.as you know, paul ryan worked for jack kemp at empower america. he worked for castin who is one of the original supply-siders. he gets this stuff in the very heart of his being, and it's an important story to tell that in fact, if you look at the price of gasoline. obama has failed. if you look at the unemployment rate, obama has failed. the answer is not austerity. the answer...
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if he is in fact on his daily polling picking up something that is really good news for mitt romney. >> shannon: ed, what do you think, should the romney camp take it with a bit of cautious optimism? >> they shouldn't at all. execute their game plan. debated a tremendous bebait the other night. mitt romney made himself what he needed to be which was a viable alternative who put forth ideas o of how to get the economy moving again. the destates will will close up. i predict by the next debate this will be a dead even rate, dead even in the national polls and in the states critical. three weeks after that a knock down drag out battle. >> shannon: another one of the key states is florida. rasmussen again there and this is the day after the debate. romney at 49% and obama at 47. the real clear politics average there a dead even 47 each. one that s a state war lot of seniors reside and a lot of folks worry about issues of medty care and medicaid. romney and ryan spending a lot of time there in the sunshine state. how critical will that one be? >> absolutely. rean took his mom there as you
if he is in fact on his daily polling picking up something that is really good news for mitt romney. >> shannon: ed, what do you think, should the romney camp take it with a bit of cautious optimism? >> they shouldn't at all. execute their game plan. debated a tremendous bebait the other night. mitt romney made himself what he needed to be which was a viable alternative who put forth ideas o of how to get the economy moving again. the destates will will close up. i predict by the...
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a new gallup poll of registered voters shows the race is in a dead heat. >> romney is sharpening his attacks on the president. today he'll call for changes in america's foreign policy. janua jan crawford is covering the romney campaign in lexington, virginia. >> reporter: good morning, norah. good morning, charlie. romney was one of the president's earliest critics on how he handle libya. his supporters say they subsequently proved him right. romney's got some tough words for the president here at the virginia military institute. he'll deliver this later this morning. and he's also implying that some of the president's decisions were made for political reasons. >> thank you! >> reporter: in a major speech on foreign policy, romney will attack mr. obama's leadership and set out his strategy, promising, i'll affirm that my duty is not to my political prospects, but to the security of the nation. romney will challenge the president's handling of the middle east, saying it's time to change course. i know the president hopes for a safer, freer and more prosperous middle east al middle eas
a new gallup poll of registered voters shows the race is in a dead heat. >> romney is sharpening his attacks on the president. today he'll call for changes in america's foreign policy. janua jan crawford is covering the romney campaign in lexington, virginia. >> reporter: good morning, norah. good morning, charlie. romney was one of the president's earliest critics on how he handle libya. his supporters say they subsequently proved him right. romney's got some tough words for the...
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when we come back, jim cramer on the stocks going up faster than mitt romney's poll numbers because of mitt romney's poll numbers. >> up next, a republican with a different view of thou fix america's fiscal mess. david stockman served in the reagan administration but he's not talking tax cuts, quite the opposite. larry kudlow will take him on. we count you down to the vice presidential debate in danville, kentucky. two years ago, the people of bp made a commitment to the gulf. and every day since, we've worked hard to keep it. bp has paid over twenty-three billion dollars to help people and businesses who were affected, and to cover cleanup costs. today, the beaches and gulf are open for everyone to enjoy -- and many areas are reporting their best tourism seasons in years. we've shared what we've learned with governments and across the industry so we can all produce energy more safely. i want you to know, there's another commitment bp takes just as seriously: our commitment to america. bp supports nearly two-hundred-fifty thousand jobs in communities across the country. we hired three
when we come back, jim cramer on the stocks going up faster than mitt romney's poll numbers because of mitt romney's poll numbers. >> up next, a republican with a different view of thou fix america's fiscal mess. david stockman served in the reagan administration but he's not talking tax cuts, quite the opposite. larry kudlow will take him on. we count you down to the vice presidential debate in danville, kentucky. two years ago, the people of bp made a commitment to the gulf. and every...
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new polls released just hours ago show a post debate surge for mitt romney. but does he have enough momentum to win the whole thing? >>> plus, breaking news. the state department now says there was no protest over a controversial film on the night the ambassador to libya was murdered. no protest outside the benghazi consulate. >>> and the u.s. military says it doesn't need to refurbish hundreds of tanks. so why is $3 billion being spent now to update those tanks? it's an "outfront" investigation. let's go "outfront." >>> good evening, everyone, i'm erin burnett. and "outfront" tonight, romney dodges, obama spins. it's sort of a new dance move. dodge and spin. while the republican candidate just spoke with our wolf blitzer and when wolf asked him to get specific on tax cuts, here's what happened. >> even though you're going to lower the income tax rates for people making let's say more than $250,000 a year, but you're going to eliminate some loopholes and deductions, exemptions, tax credits, is that what i'm hearing? >> that's right. i'll bring the rate down a
new polls released just hours ago show a post debate surge for mitt romney. but does he have enough momentum to win the whole thing? >>> plus, breaking news. the state department now says there was no protest over a controversial film on the night the ambassador to libya was murdered. no protest outside the benghazi consulate. >>> and the u.s. military says it doesn't need to refurbish hundreds of tanks. so why is $3 billion being spent now to update those tanks? it's an...
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case in point, this afternoon's gallup poll showing the president leading mitt romney 49% to 46% among registered voters. among likely voters it's romney up by two leading the president 49% to 47%. folks, this is a tight race as both candidates are keenly aware. romney began in iowa, one of the states that could prove crucial to his hopes for a path to 270 electoral votes. and he was introduced by his son, josh, who had an interesting take on romney's debate preparation. >> we'd say the same lie over and over and my dad learned then not to believe it. so while we didn't go to any of the formal debate preparation, we did the real hard stuff. as a father, he learned how to debate an obstinate child. >> kicking it off by suggesting the president is an obstinate child. that's great, mr. romney. what do you have for sale? >> i am going to put a cap on regulation and any new major regulation will have to be approved by congress. i'm not letting the politicians off the hook. >> absolutely, he's not letting politicians off the hook, just wall street, k street, polluters, abusers, everyone else
case in point, this afternoon's gallup poll showing the president leading mitt romney 49% to 46% among registered voters. among likely voters it's romney up by two leading the president 49% to 47%. folks, this is a tight race as both candidates are keenly aware. romney began in iowa, one of the states that could prove crucial to his hopes for a path to 270 electoral votes. and he was introduced by his son, josh, who had an interesting take on romney's debate preparation. >> we'd say the...
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the big romney bounce. a new poll shows governor romney in the lead among likely voters. this after the first presidential debate. what it means just four weeks out from election day. >>> plus day five in the search for a little girl who vanished on her way to school. where fbi agents and police are focusing their investigation. >>> and a deadly meningitis outbreak spreading. why health officials believe thousands of people could be at risk. what you need to know, all "happening now." jon: and a good tuesday morning to you. that means election day is four weeks from today. can you believe that? a big surge for governor romney in the race for the white house to tell you about. i'm jon scott. jenna: hi, everybody, i'm jenna lee. we're getting a look at more brand new polling which shows mr. romney's strong debate performance last week may be resonating with voters. take a look at this. this is thepew poll of likely voters. governor romney now holding a four-point lead over the president. the governor trailed the president by eight points in the previous poll. and among like
the big romney bounce. a new poll shows governor romney in the lead among likely voters. this after the first presidential debate. what it means just four weeks out from election day. >>> plus day five in the search for a little girl who vanished on her way to school. where fbi agents and police are focusing their investigation. >>> and a deadly meningitis outbreak spreading. why health officials believe thousands of people could be at risk. what you need to know, all...
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we told you last night about a pew poll which shows romney leading obama. you can see also barely outside the margin of error. in that same poll, the president's 18-point lead among women disappeared. he's now running even with romney. so who is winning this vital war over middle class tax cuts? rah ham salon joins us and john avlon, senior political columnist at "newsweek" and "the daily beast." this debate over $5 trillion and what you're trying to do and on the backs of the middle class, this isn't just about a number and who is using a number specifically in what way. it goes to the heart of whether the president is going to win. >> in 2008, barack obama did something incredibly brilliant. he actually managed to outflank the republicans on taxes, which was their biggest, most potent issue for literally decades, by saying, hey, if you're middle class, you're going to get a tax cut, and it's only the small number of folks who will get anything like a tax increase and that turned out to be a very successful political message. and now mitt romney is counter
we told you last night about a pew poll which shows romney leading obama. you can see also barely outside the margin of error. in that same poll, the president's 18-point lead among women disappeared. he's now running even with romney. so who is winning this vital war over middle class tax cuts? rah ham salon joins us and john avlon, senior political columnist at "newsweek" and "the daily beast." this debate over $5 trillion and what you're trying to do and on the backs of...